With only one major film opening wide, it will be a sleepy weekend at the box office as people will wait it out for next weekend with STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS finally opens.
IN THE HEART OF THE SEA, the new Ron Howard epic starring Chris Hemsworth is the big movie this weekend. The trailers scream Oscar bait, but the critics disagree. This is a film that depends on good its reviews, as its geared towards and older audience, and they aren’t as easily swayed by a flashy trailer. With a poor reviews, and weak buzz, the movie should open with a disappointing $16mil. I can’t imagine that this was a cheap film to make, so it needs to open much larger to be even a mid-level success, but I don’t see that happening.
It will be a tight race for all the holdovers as each film should come in within $1mil of each other. MOCKINGJAY – PART 2 should do the best of the bunch making a solid $11mil in its 4th weekend. The surprise hit from last weekend KRAMPUS will do its best to avoid a 50% drop in its second weekend, but as horror films are not known to have much staying power at the box office, it should make $8mil. This is still a great number, as that is how much I expected it to make on its opening weekend, Anything it does now, the studio will be happy.
I had such high expectations for THE GOOD DINOSAUR, and it makes me sad that it is not doing well at the box office. I would love to think that Pixar is unstoppable, but this film has shown that mighty studio is not invincible. It had a major drop last weekend, and I don’t see it bouncing back from that as it should make $9mil over the weekend. I expect CREED to not having another sharp drop and make $8.5mil. There is a good chance they might swap, as they have been running neck and neck since they’ve been released.
IN THE HEART OF THE SEA – $16mil
MOCKINGJAY – PART 2 – 11mil
THE GOOD DINOSAUR – $9mil
CREED – $8.5mil
KRAMPUS – $8mil
This week in Box Office History: On this exact weekend in 2005 THE LION, THE WITCH, AND THE WARDROBE opened to a massive $65mil and going on to grossing a total of $291mil. This did spawn two sequels, but lightning was not able to strike twice, as each film made much less than the one that came before it.